Economic forecasts

Issue Number: 
570
Published: 
2004-09-12


Economic forecast

 

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

Population (million)

144.9

144.4

143.9

143.5

143.1

142.8

GDP (US$ billion at market exchange rates)

427.0

484.9

522.3

570.3

628.3

688.5

GDP per head (US$ at market exchange rates)

2,948

3,358

3,629

3,975

4,391

4,821

GDP (US$ billion at PPP)

1,177.5

1,238.6

1,317.8

1,402.2

1,494.1

1,586.5

GDP per head (US$ at PPP)

8,129

8,577

9,157

9,773

10,441

11,108

Personal disposable income (US$ billion)

257.8

308.1

337.5

372.7

414.2

457.6

Median household income (US$)

3,754

4,502

4,928

5,439

6,060

6,708

Household consumption (US$ billion)

223.4

265.0

291.0

322.1

358.4

396.4

Household consumption per head (US$)

1,540

1,840

2,020

2,240

2,500

2,780

Exports of goods & services (% change)

12.5

6.0

5.4

5.7

5.7

5.9

Imports of goods & services (% change)

20.5

9.4

8.7

9.3

8.2

8.5

Consumer goods forecast

Retail trade

 

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

Retail sales (RUR billion)

4,461

5,228

6,030

6,886

7,835

8,841

Retail sales (US$ billion)

145.4

171.4

189.6

211.9

237.4

265.5

Retail sales volume growth (%)

8.1

6.2

5.8

5.6

5.9

5.4

Retail sales US$ value growth (%)

22.5

17.9

10.6

11.7

12.1

11.8

Non—food retail sales (US$ billion)

77.5

91.0

101.4

114.4

129.0

145.6

Food retail sales (US$ billion)

67.9

80.4

88.2

97.5

108.5

119.9

Clothing, cosmetics & household goods

Clothing sales value (US$ million)

14,782

17,639

19,297

20,932

22,247

23,485

Footwear sales value (US$ million)

5,244

5,403

5,189

5,349

6,154

7,025

Cosmetics & toiletries sales value (US$ million)

5,361

6,268

6,842

7,515

8,300

9,111

Perfumes & fragrances sales value (US$ million)

684

805

879

968

1,072

1,179

Furniture sales value (US$ million)

2,354

2,739

2,967

3,236

3,557

3,889

Cleaning products sales value (US$ million)

2,323

2,619

2,793

2,996

3,226

3,459

Electronic & domestic appliances

Television sets (stock per 1,000 population)

540

567

594

622

650

679

Television sets sales volume ('000)

3,469

3,562

3,653

3,745

3,846

3,940

Cable TV subscribers (per 1,000 population)

119

128

143

157

172

189

Personal computers sales volume ('000)

3,131

3,409

3,684

3,974

4,288

4,626

Refrigerators sales volume ('000)

1,007

1,051

1,096

1,142

1,192

1,241

Video cameras sales volume ('000)

880

826

792

755

720

687

Washing machines sales volume ('000)

2,397

2,533

2,670

2,814

2,974

3,128

Energy forecast

 

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

Energy consumption (million tons oil equivalent)

701

720

739

760

781

804

Energy consumption (kg oil equivalent per head)

4,842

4,983

5,134

5,294

5,460

5,627

Electricity consumption (billion kwh)

667

687

707

728

750

771

Electricity consumption (kwh per head)

4,607

4,759

4,914

5,073

5,239

5,401

Petroleum consumption ('000 b/d)

2,709

2,749

2,828

2,922

3,027

3,130

Coal consumption (million metric tons)

270

279

286

293

300

308

Natural gas consumption (bn cu metres)

343

350

359

368

378

389

 

 


Search